Anyone who has heard me speak in the last 18 months has heard me warn about a double dip into recession. Well, more and more economists agree that we are headed for a double dip and we are seeing it emerge in the housing industry.
Most recently, Meredith Whitney, founder of Meredith Whitney Advisory and the analyst who predicted the financial/housing collapse that got us to where we are today, talked to CNBC about the looming second dip. She says as states (who make up 12% of GDP) pull back the GDP will again lose ground. And we are already seeing housing prices fall again. You can find more about her current predictions at http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/fii-view/signsa-double-dip-have-emerged-meredith-whitney_571723.html.
We are already seeing a new wave of corporate layoffs which will eventually lead to less spending, a further drop in GDP, a drop in revenue for federal, state, and local governments which will increase the debt even more, and cause the dollar to drop even further.
What does this mean for you? It means continued financial hardship. Not necessarily disaster, but hardship. First, continue to hold on to your real estate. The value of real estate will continue to drop, but not forever. You just need to ride the wave. In addition, as the housing market continues to drop and unemployment continues to increase, rental demand will continue to increase. Do not incur more debt on your real estate holdings. Debt is what got us into this mess. Don’t do anything that will increase your financial obligations. If you have cash available, you may want to invest in precious metals. They tend to do well during down economic times. They will do especially well if we get into another season of stagflation like we did in the late 1970s. Stay away from municipal bonds. Many municipalities are on the verge of defaulting on their obligations. Finally, next year, invest your votes in smaller government / pro private sector growth candidates. Personally, I don’t think it really matters if the candidate is Republican or Democrat. President George W. Bush didn’t shrink government, he increased the size of it. President Bush, a Republican should have been a fiscal conservative. Yet, he spent our tax dollars like a drunken sailor. But, his actions look frugal compared to the growth of the government and spending that has been hallmark of our current administration. If we are going to change the direction our country is headed, we must first change the person, or people, at the helm. We need a leadership who can follow the compass we give them to use.
